2016 AIChE Spring Meeting and 12th Global Congress on Process Safety
(70a) Facilitating Real-Time Decision-Making of Marine Terminal Operations
The evaluation of terminal capability can be aided by a model that simulates the marine terminal activities and calculates performance metrics. In this talk, we present a discrete event simulation model that we have developed to aid in the assessment of terminal capability. We realistically model marine terminal operations by capturing all the steps involved in marine terminal operations – the timings of which are defined using distributions developed from historical marine terminal data. In addition, subject matter experts are consulted to ensure that the decision-making criteria of the model closely mirror actual decisions.
We then present our decision-making methodology on several test cases. In doing so, we demonstrate our tool’s ability to quantitatively assess marine terminal capability while incorporating the uncertainties associated with terminal operations and variability in vessel arrival and movement times; additionally, we implement statistical tools to accurately depict terminal performance beyond using just the mean and standard deviation. Finally, we facilitate decision-making by distilling simulation results into meaningful interpretation: this is a key step in which statistical knowledge is applied to interpret the model results within the context of the decisions being made.