Over the last 150 years, rapid population growth and industrial development have driven an unprecedented increase in global energy demand, presenting a critical challenge: building resilient and sustainable energy infrastructure [1]. Addressing this challenge requires a comprehensive transformation of energy systems, encompassing advancements in storage technologies, grid management, policy frameworks, resource availability assessments, economic feasibility, and environmental impact analyses. Effective infrastructure planning is essential for navigating this complex transition and ensuring a reliable energy future [2].
Existing mathematical models and tools for energy infrastructure planning primarily focus on designing and constructing new infrastructure, often neglecting decommissioning considerations [3]. While some models incorporate decommissioning decisions, they typically emphasize long-term planning, lack the granularity needed to capture the variability of intermittent energy sources, and do not evaluate different end-of-life options [4-6]. A growing global challenge is managing aging infrastructure, particularly as concerns over waste safety intensify and landfill capacity continues to decline. Additionally, emerging technologies such as solar panels, batteries, and electrolyzers rely on critical materials with high recovery potential, making end-of-life decisions increasingly important [7]. Therefore, next-generation energy systems must integrate end-of-life considerations to ensure sustainability by integrating the economic and environmental impacts of possible decommissioning strategies during system design.
In this work, we extend the model developed in [8], which introduces a multi-scale optimization framework for the design and planning of urban energy systems, to incorporate decommissioning analysis and end-of-life options, explicitly accounting for disposal, incineration, and recycling pathways for different energy technologies. The model optimizes system configuration and operation while assessing technology lifetimes' economic and environmental implications and decommissioning strategies. We apply this framework to a case study of the energy transition on a university campus, solving the model at an hourly resolution over a 35-year horizon to capture the variability of intermittent energy sources and interdependencies of multi-energy sources. The results provide insights into the role of end-of-life strategies in shaping sustainable energy infrastructure planning.
References
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[2] Fodstad, M., Crespo del Granado, P., Hellemo, L., Knudsen, B. R., Pisciella, P., Silvast, A., Bordin, C., Schmidt, S., & Straus, J. (2022). Next frontiers in energy system modelling: A review on challenges and the state of the art. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 160.
[3] Invernizzi, D. C., Locatelli, G., Velenturf, A., Love, P. E., Purnell, P., & Brookes, N. J. (2020). Developing policies for the end-of-life of energy infrastructure: Coming to terms with the challenges of decommissioning. Energy Policy, 144, 111677.
[4] Cano, E. L., Groissböck, M., Moguerza, J. M., & Stadler, M. (2014). A strategic optimization model for energy systems planning. Energy and Buildings, 81, 416–423.
[5] Lei, G., Stanko, M., & Silva, T. L. (2022). Formulations for automatic optimization of decommissioning timing in offshore oil and gas field development planning. Computers and Chemical Engineering, 165, 107910.
[6] Zhang, J., Li, Z., Zheng, X., & Liu, P. (2024). Long-term planning and coupling optimization of multi-regional natural gas and hydrogen supply systems: A case study of China. Computers and Chemical Engineering, 183, 108593.
[8] Barteczko-Hibbert, C., Bonis, I., Binns, M., Theodoropoulos, C., & Azapagic, A. (2014). A multi-period mixed-integer linear optimisation of future electricity supply considering life cycle costs and environmental impacts. Applied Energy, 133, 317–334.
[7] International Energy Agency. (2022). The Role of Critical Minerals in Clean Energy Transitions. Tech Report, IEA.
[8] Vergara, J., Brahmbhatt, P., & Avraamidou, S. (2024). A Multi-Scale Optimization Framework for Energy Transition Planning in Urban Areas: Insights from a University Campus Case Study Preprint.