Hydrogen (H
2) is a promising clean energy carrier due to its high energy density and zero carbon emissions when used as fuel. The electrocatalytic hydrogen evolution reaction (HER), a key half-reaction in water electrolysis, offers a promising and sustainable route for large-scale H
2 production. However, improved efficiency and/or cost are needed to improve the viability of electrolytic H
2. Layered two-dimensional (2D) transition metal carbides, nitrides, and carbonitrides, known as MXenes (M
n+1X
nT
x: M = early transition metal, n=1-3, X = C or/and N, and T
x = surface functional groups), have emerged as potential HER catalysts due to their tunable electronic structures and surface chemistries. Their relatively well-defined structure makes them an excellent platform for design, and for testing the accuracy of catalytic design principles like the volcano plot.
In this study, we conduct a systematic DFT-based screening of experimentally synthesized MXenes, Mn+1XnTx (M = Ti, V, Nb, Cr, Mo; X = C and/or N; Tx = O) to evaluate the accuracy of the well-known volcano plot in predicting their experimental overpotential. Thus, we plotted the experimental overpotential as a function of the hydrogen adsorption free energy (ΔGH), a widely accepted descriptor where values near zero are thought to indicate optimal catalytic performance. To capture the coverage-dependent behaviour of hydrogen adsorption on MXenes, we incrementally increase hydrogen coverage and evaluate ΔGH at each step. We find that the theoretical volcano plot is quantitatively inaccurate in predicting experimental overpotentials, but the volcano plot is qualitatively useful for a rough initial screening. Our findings provide guidance for the rational design of MXene-base electrocatalysts with minimal overpotential and improved hydrogen production efficiency.